Preparation of a dynamic simulation model to support decision making in a sensitive rural area

Authors

  • Mónika Varga Kaposvár University
  • Sándor Balogh Kaposvár University
  • Béla Csukás Kaposvár University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17700/jai.2015.6.1.159

Abstract

This paper focuses on the demonstration of a conceptual framework and a dynamic simulation based tool, through the example of southern catchment basin of Lake Balaton. The objective is to support the sustainable and reasonable environmental management by model based investigation of various scenarios. In the developed hydrological model, the coherence is given by the compartmentalized dynamic network of water flows and water bodies. The completeness is solved by the complete and disjoint covering of the whole area by modeled patches, corresponding to the CORINE land cover database of natural and human built environment. The complexity of the large scale and long term processes is managed by evaluating detailed models only for one representative patch from each class, while the calculation of the similar patches is solved by simple multiplication rules. According to the first experiences, the developed framework is able to integrate the field experts’ knowledge (data, relations, empirical knowledge, etc.) for the prediction of land use effects besides different climatic scenarios. It is noted, that continuous extension and refinement of the model and of the involved data is necessary, especially through more realistic case studies.

Author Biography

Mónika Varga, Kaposvár University

Monika Varga (PhD) works as a Research Fellow in Research Group on Process Network Engineering at Kaposvar University, Hungary. She graduated from Agricultural Engineering at Kaposvar University. Her main research is focuses on dynamic simulation based identification, design, control and optimization of conservational and informational processes. Since 2005 she has been participating in the solution of 3 national and 2 international R&D project, as well as 14 industrial projects. Recently the major fields of applications are computational model based methodology and tool to support sustainable rural development; development and experimental application of software prototypes for agrifood process network interoperability; model based optimal design and control of biotechnological processes in pharmaceutical and food industry; Computational Systems Biology (cellular metabolic and signaling processes). She is the author and co-author of more than 30 publications, as well as the member of some professional organizations (HAAI, EFITA, AIPA, HAS-Working Group of Process Engineering, HAS-Working Group on Bioengineering).

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Published

2015-01-13

How to Cite

Varga, M., Balogh, S., & Csukás, B. (2015). Preparation of a dynamic simulation model to support decision making in a sensitive rural area. Journal of Agricultural Informatics, 6(1). https://doi.org/10.17700/jai.2015.6.1.159

Issue

Section

Journal of Agricultural Informatics